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Tesla stock valuations put to rest any question that the market isn’t just one big bubble

Prior to the Dot Com market boom, and the eventual rise of central bank influence in the equity markets, if you were to ask any broker or analyst what the valuations of a company that makes no profit and has to be subsidized by the government were, they would probably answer you by saying that company traded on the OTC markets, or perhaps even on the penny stock sheets.  But those days are far gone, and ins ...

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Central banks beginning to think the Euro is garbage as they swap reserves for the British Pound

Perhaps EU President Jean-Claude Juncker and ECB head Mario Draghi didn't get the memo, but it appears that central banks are beginning to think that their continental currency is garbage.  And in response to the declining confidence and trust in the Euro, many are making the move to instead fill their reserves with the British Pound despite all the rhetoric over Brexit. With ongoing turmoil raging in Europ ...

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The only reason Obamacare hasn’t imploded already was due to Obama siphoning cash from another agency to prop it up

When President Donald Trump tweets out that Obamacare is on the precipice of imploding, it appears that he is not far off the mark.  Failing insurance companies, Doctors leaving their practices, and even several regions like in the state of Arizona not even having a provider are just some of the consequences that have emerged in the three years since the Affordable Healthcare Act went active. But now we are ...

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Eight years of the ‘Obama’ recovery sees more college graduates than ever working a minimum wage job

A new White Paper out from the Washington-based Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce shows that not only have wages been stagnant over the past two decades, but more college graduates are being stuck working in minimum wage jobs than ever in history. Citing facts that show even salaries of higher skilled vocations have declined over the past eight years of the 'Obama recovery', the va ...

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In the aftermath of the failed healthcare bill vote, Deutsche Bank now puts a U.S. Govt. shutdown at 40%

There is much speculation that 70 plus days into Donald Trump's Presidency, the outsider who became Commander-in-Chief may have already spent his political capital.  And we are seeing this right now in Congress's opposition to discuss tax reforms, the debt ceiling, and even in finding a measly $4 billion to begin construction of a border wall. And with the Republican led Congress once again mired in the leg ...

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With Republican led Congress unable to pass new healthcare bill, leaders expect same failure with raising debt ceiling

Unlike the majority of Democrats who almost always vote in lockstep to what their leadership demands, Republican members of the House and Senate often split with each other when voting for a given bill or program.  And this division has only gotten worse since around 2010 when a group of Congressmen entered into the GOP on the coattails of the Tea Party movement. In fact, we saw this division play out just ...

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Retail collapse continues as Sears and Payless fall victim to declining consumer spending

Over the past three years, January has brought about a number of long-standing retail chains shuttering dozens if not hundreds of locations, and laying off thousands of workers.  And 2017 was no exception as the severe decline in retail traffic that began to show up in earnest last March is culminating in perhaps the final days of two retail icons. On March 22 both Sears and Payless (shoes) filed business s ...

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Huge decline for industrial production adds more credence U.S. economy is now in recession

By all historic measures the U.S. economy has probably been in a continuous recession since 2000 following the collapse of the Dot Com bubble, and most definitely with their entry into what became known as The Great Recession following the 2008 financial crisis.  And by historically we are of course referring to data modeling based on 1980 measures rather than on today's government reporting which has exper ...

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Atlanta Fed drops Q1 GDP again as indicators continue to scream economy is in recession

On March 15, just hours before the Fed's FOMC meeting culminated in the central bank raising interest rates once again, the Atlanta regional Fed bank lowered its forecast for Q1 GDP to below 1% validating further belief that the U.S. economy is severely slowing down in 2017. After reporting an estimate for the GDP of 1.2% just two weeks ago, the Atlanta Fed updated their newest estimate to .9% following two ...

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As consumer spending falls off a cliff and consumer debt gets maxed out, FICO scores set to change to make borrowing easier

Back between 2004 and 2008, the financial system's desire to get anyone into a home was so great that even if you didn't have a job or couldn't afford a home, lenders would manipulate applications so that those below the poverty line were able to purchase $600,000 and higher McMansions. Now in 2017 when once again many American are maxed out on their debt limits and consumer spending is falling off a cliff, ...

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Be careful what you wish for, because you might just get it as inflation has now gotten out of control for central banks

For nearly a decade the Federal Reserve, along with nearly every other central bank in the industrialized world, has used zero or negative interest rates to try to bring about annual asset inflation to a designated benchmark of 2%.  And while they claimed that almost every year since the 2008 Financial Crisis that inflation has remained below this number, their monetary policies have finally reached a point ...

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The coming week could create more economic chaos than Brexit

This coming week will see some of the most important economic and political decisions taking place in perhaps the last 9 years, coinciding also with the historic negative frequency that is often attributed to the 'Ides of March'. March 15 will see the Federal Reserve decide whether they will begin a trek towards aggressively raising interest rates at a time when every real economic indicator is screaming re ...

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