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Fed doesn’t appear to understand real inflation as food prices soar 14% in just the past two months

Last week Janet Yellen and the Federal Reserve chose to raise interest rates a quarter point at a time when economic data has been at or near recessionary levels for at least the past two quarters.  And of significance was the FOMC's claim that inflation was still running below the central bank's target rate of 2%. The Federal Reserve approved its second rate hike of 2017 even amid expectations that inflati ...

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Will the Fed claim today’s core retail sales miss as another ‘transitory’ data indicator as they prepare to announce next rate decision?

As the Federal Reserve begins their two day FOMC meeting on June 14, a major economic indicator was published today which showed that core retail sales declined for the month of May, and was the lowest print since January of 2016. This data also coincides with the first quarter announcement of only a .7% increase to the GDP, and the growing number of retailers and restaurants that are shuttering their doors ...

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Economic recovery fraud as 93% of all new jobs are imaginary, and 72% of all businesses are unprofitable

Tens of trillions of dollars in printed money can mask many ills, but there was a reason why the voters chose to elect Donald Trump to the office of President during last year's election... because on Main Street the economic recovery so touted by the Fed has been a complete fraud. And while we could quibble over the fact that 93 million Americans are not even being counted in the nation's labor pool, or th ...

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Collapse of retail keeps on coming with more store closures and another retail chain bankruptcy

Just a month after Sears CEO Eddie Lampert gave an extremely animated Earnings Call in which one shareholder asked him if he was 'paranoid' and 'delusional' about his belief that the long-standing retailer would soon turn things around, the once primary anchor store of nearly every mall in America is closing down 66 more stores in what has been a hemorrhage of locations over the past several years. Less tha ...

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Long-time investor who was fictionalized in movie Wall Street reveals markets controlled by the PPT

For most traders and investors, the cable business channel CNBC is nothing more than a stock hawking program that moonlights as a mouthpiece for the Fed.  And perhaps their best example of being nothing more than a round table to provide CEO's the opportunity to spin their companies problems into rainbows was just before the 2008 financial crisis when they allowed the former CEO of Bear Stearns to come on t ...

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Housing bubble 2.0? New and existing home sales drop at same time prices reach record highs

Since the only thing the Federal Reserve knows how to do is print money and create asset bubbles, it should come as no surprise that nine years after the bursting of the last housing bubble, the economy has achieved success in the creation of another one.  And as data comes out for the month of April showing slumping sales in both new and existing homes, the contradiction to the this data is in the fact tha ...

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The Fed’s dichotomy as interest on the debt now costs the government $500 billion per year from their budget

On May 4 it was determined that the U.S. taxpayer (government) now pays over $500 billion per year in interest on the nearly $20 trillion of national debt.  That equates to 13% of their annual budget which as of last year was $3.8 trillion before adding another $1 trillion or so in deficit spending. Thus both the government and the Federal Reserve are in a quandary, especially as the economy begins to slow ...

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2007 Redux: American consumer credit card debt now over $1 trillion and to levels not seen since 2008 crash

The last time that Americans had a combined credit card debt of over $1 trillion was in 2007 and just prior to the financial crash of 2008.  That is until today where for the first time in a decade consumers have tapped into their revolving debt to where it is now equal to what it was just prior to the global banking crash. Yet this is not the only parallel to 2007 for the U.S. economy as home prices also n ...

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Heading into the final tallies of Q1, the Atlanta Fed downgrades its GDP estimate to .6%

As we have noted many times, the hundreds of 'Ivy League' economists under the umbrella of the Federal Reserve aren't worth a lick of salt when it comes to forecasting, or creating monetary policies based on real economic numbers.  This is because they are more ideological (Keynesian) and political than the supposed 'neutrality' stance they try to covey, and as such they follow in lockstep with the governme ...

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Huge decline for industrial production adds more credence U.S. economy is now in recession

By all historic measures the U.S. economy has probably been in a continuous recession since 2000 following the collapse of the Dot Com bubble, and most definitely with their entry into what became known as The Great Recession following the 2008 financial crisis.  And by historically we are of course referring to data modeling based on 1980 measures rather than on today's government reporting which has exper ...

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Atlanta Fed drops Q1 GDP again as indicators continue to scream economy is in recession

On March 15, just hours before the Fed's FOMC meeting culminated in the central bank raising interest rates once again, the Atlanta regional Fed bank lowered its forecast for Q1 GDP to below 1% validating further belief that the U.S. economy is severely slowing down in 2017. After reporting an estimate for the GDP of 1.2% just two weeks ago, the Atlanta Fed updated their newest estimate to .9% following two ...

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Be careful what you wish for, because you might just get it as inflation has now gotten out of control for central banks

For nearly a decade the Federal Reserve, along with nearly every other central bank in the industrialized world, has used zero or negative interest rates to try to bring about annual asset inflation to a designated benchmark of 2%.  And while they claimed that almost every year since the 2008 Financial Crisis that inflation has remained below this number, their monetary policies have finally reached a point ...

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